East Fife vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 0
EAS
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
EAS
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 2
EAS
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 1
AIR
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 0
ALB
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AYR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 3
AYR
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
AYR
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
AYR
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |