Dziugas Telsiai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
7º
6º
32
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 61 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 54 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 43 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
SUD
27%
27%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
DTE
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
HLI
1 - 0
DTE
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
KZA
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DTE
2 - 0
DAI
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DAI
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 4
KZA
46%
23%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
TRA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 6
ZAL
22%
22%
55%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |