Dynamo Dresden II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
DYN
1 - 1
ROT
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 3
DYN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
DYN
0 - 1
LOK
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
DYN
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 2
DYN
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 1
CHE
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ERZ
4 - 1
LUC
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 0
ERZ
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 2
DYN
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 4
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |