DWV vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DWV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
DWV
4 - 1
NVC
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
JOS
1 - 1
DWV
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DWV
1 - 3
KFC
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PUR
2 - 1
DWV
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DWV
3 - 1
ROD
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
USV
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USV
3 - 2
JOS
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DEZ
7 - 0
USV
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
USV
0 - 1
NVC
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USV
2 - 2
FCB
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |