DWV vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DWV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
DWV
2 - 0
VVS
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 0
DWV
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
DWV
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
DWV
0 - 1
VUC
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
HIL
2 - 3
DWV
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
HAA
4 - 1
EXC
80%
13%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
DWV
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ARG
3 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
5%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
DWS
5 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |