Dürrenast vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
DUR
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 3
LER
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLT
1 - 4
DUR
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 2
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
DUR
79%
13%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
MOU
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WOH
1 - 2
THU
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
THU
2 - 0
LEN
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCK
2 - 2
THU
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
THU
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |