Durango vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
EST
0 - 2
DUR
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 2
DUR
32%
30%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DUR
4 - 2
LEO
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DUR
0 - 0
CSI
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
DUR
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MIN
3 - 0
ZAC
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
MIN
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 0
MIN
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
3 - 1
MAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |