Durango vs Mazorqueros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 1
DUR
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DUR
1 - 1
EST
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 4
DUR
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 1
ATS
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSI
0 - 0
DUR
11%
23%
67%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Mazorqueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MAZ
3 - 0
ZAC
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
MAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 1
REB
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 1
MAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
MAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |