Clausura Ascenso MX Round 11

Durango vs León analysis

Durango León
64 ELO 73
4.6% Tilt -7.3%
1207º General ELO ranking 379º
30º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Durango
25.7%
Draw
48.5%
León

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
Durango
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.5%
Win probability
León
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Durango
-3%
-14%
León

ELO progression

Durango
León
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Durango
Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2011
ALT
Altamira
2 - 1
Durango
DUR
47%
27%
26%
63 63 0 0
20 Feb. 2011
UDG
Leones Negros
0 - 0
Durango
DUR
42%
27%
31%
63 60 3 0
17 Feb. 2011
DUR
Durango
0 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
38%
27%
35%
64 71 7 -1
13 Feb. 2011
IND
Indios
1 - 2
Durango
DUR
62%
24%
15%
63 73 10 +1
06 Feb. 2011
DUR
Durango
0 - 1
Reboceros de la Piedad
REB
63%
22%
16%
64 58 6 -1

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2011
LEO
León
1 - 0
Venados FC
MER
69%
19%
12%
74 64 10 0
27 Feb. 2011
DOR
Dorados
1 - 1
León
LEO
32%
27%
41%
74 66 8 0
20 Feb. 2011
VER
Veracruz
1 - 1
León
LEO
35%
26%
39%
74 67 7 0
17 Feb. 2011
LEO
León
3 - 1
Altamira
ALT
71%
19%
10%
74 64 10 0
06 Feb. 2011
LEO
León
2 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
76%
16%
8%
73 59 14 +1