Clausura Ascenso MX Round 12

Durango vs Tuxtla FC analysis

Durango Tuxtla FC
63 ELO 51
-8.2% Tilt -6.5%
1219º General ELO ranking 30649º
30º Country ELO ranking 218º
ELO win probability
69.6%
Durango
20.2%
Draw
10.2%
Tuxtla FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
Durango
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.2%
Win probability
Tuxtla FC
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Durango
Tuxtla FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Durango
Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2009
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 2
Durango
DUR
49%
25%
26%
63 61 2 0
22 Mar. 2009
DUR
Durango
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
44%
28%
28%
63 64 1 0
15 Mar. 2009
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 2
Durango
DUR
55%
25%
20%
63 68 5 0
08 Mar. 2009
DUR
Durango
3 - 2
Académicos
AGU
60%
24%
16%
63 56 7 0
28 Feb. 2009
DUR
Durango
1 - 1
Orizaba
ORI
46%
27%
27%
63 61 2 0

Matches

Tuxtla FC
Tuxtla FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2009
JAG
Tuxtla FC
1 - 2
Rayados de Monterrey Premie
MON
46%
25%
29%
51 54 3 0
21 Mar. 2009
TEC
Tecos UAG II
1 - 1
Tuxtla FC
JAG
53%
25%
22%
51 54 3 0
08 Mar. 2009
JAG
Tuxtla FC
2 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
34%
26%
41%
51 61 10 0
01 Mar. 2009
JAG
Tuxtla FC
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
50 63 13 +1
25 Feb. 2009
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
Tuxtla FC
JAG
73%
19%
8%
51 67 16 -1