Durango vs De los altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
DUR
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 1
CIU
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
3 - 3
BLN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 0
DUR
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
6 - 1
CAC
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
De los altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 0
VAQ
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 0
ALT
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
ALT
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
AGU
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
ALT
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |