Duque de Caxias vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 1
DUQ
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 3
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
DUQ
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VAS
1 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
VAS
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
VAS
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
CEA
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |