Duque de Caxias vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 1
DUQ
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
DUQ
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MAC
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
DUQ
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
RES
1 - 1
FRI
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 0
BON
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
FRI
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |