Duque de Caxias vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
41%
23%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BON
0 - 2
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BON
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 1
BON
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BON
1 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
BON
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |