Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 2
DUQ
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
RES
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
AUD
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 0
MAC
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 2
BOA
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 1
BAN
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |