Non League Div One Southern Midlands Round 31

Dunstable Town vs Chasetown analysis

Dunstable Town Chasetown
34 ELO 41
11.9% Tilt -2.7%
13442º General ELO ranking 7641º
766º Country ELO ranking 297º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Dunstable Town
23.8%
Draw
33.4%
Chasetown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Dunstable Town
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.4%
Win probability
Chasetown
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dunstable Town
-21%
+30%
Chasetown

ELO progression

Dunstable Town
Chasetown
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunstable Town
Dunstable Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2007
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 1
Dunstable Town
DUN
33%
27%
40%
35 28 7 0
24 Feb. 2007
DUN
Dunstable Town
1 - 3
Bromsgrove Rovers
BRO
38%
27%
35%
37 44 7 -2
17 Feb. 2007
BRA
Brackley Town
1 - 2
Dunstable Town
DUN
75%
16%
9%
36 52 16 +1
03 Feb. 2007
WIL
Willenhall Town FC
0 - 0
Dunstable Town
DUN
59%
23%
18%
35 41 6 +1
27 Jan. 2007
DUN
Dunstable Town
1 - 2
Rushall Olympic
RUS
49%
23%
28%
36 37 1 -1

Matches

Chasetown
Chasetown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chasetown
2 - 1
Willenhall Town FC
WIL
41%
25%
34%
39 40 1 0
24 Feb. 2007
CHA
Chasetown
2 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
52%
24%
24%
39 36 3 0
17 Feb. 2007
WOD
Woodford United
3 - 1
Chasetown
CHA
40%
25%
35%
40 36 4 -1
13 Feb. 2007
STO
Stourbridge
2 - 0
Chasetown
CHA
53%
23%
24%
41 43 2 -1
03 Feb. 2007
BED
Bedworth United
0 - 1
Chasetown
CHA
34%
25%
41%
41 35 6 0