Duns vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
75.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 6
EYE
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 2
ORM
34%
22%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ORM
6 - 3
DUN
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
CIV
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
HER
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
TYN
4 - 2
CIV
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TYN
1 - 3
LEI
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
TYN
4 - 2
CRA
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TYN
3 - 2
LOT
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TYN
2 - 1
STI
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |