Ligue 2 Round 17

USL Dunkerque vs Bastia analysis

USL Dunkerque Bastia
60 ELO 66
-4.1% Tilt 0.7%
702º General ELO ranking 708º
24º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
32.9%
USL Dunkerque
27.1%
Draw
40%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
USL Dunkerque
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40%
Win probability
Bastia
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
USL Dunkerque
+7%
+4%
Bastia

Points and table prediction

USL Dunkerque
Their league position
Bastia
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
20º
16º
50
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
USL Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
USL Dunkerque
Bastia
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

USL Dunkerque
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

USL Dunkerque
USL Dunkerque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
56%
24%
21%
61 66 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
DUN
USL Dunkerque
0 - 2
Stade Lavallois
STL
32%
28%
40%
61 67 6 0
18 Nov. 2023
CHA
FC Chaumont
0 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
6%
12%
82%
61 18 43 0
11 Nov. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes
0 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
40%
26%
34%
60 60 0 +1
04 Nov. 2023
DUN
USL Dunkerque
0 - 1
Amiens SC
AMI
40%
27%
34%
61 62 1 -1

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Bastia
BAS
42%
26%
31%
66 66 0 0
25 Nov. 2023
BAS
Bastia
0 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
24%
25%
51%
65 74 9 +1
18 Nov. 2023
LYO
Lyon-Duchère
4 - 1
Bastia
BAS
11%
18%
71%
66 50 16 -1
11 Nov. 2023
PFC
Paris FC
1 - 0
Bastia
BAS
43%
26%
30%
67 67 0 -1
04 Nov. 2023
BAS
Bastia
3 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
32%
27%
42%
65 70 5 +2