French League U19 Round 5

USL Dunkerque U19 vs Caen U19 analysis

USL Dunkerque U19 Caen U19
16 ELO 42
1.3% Tilt 0.2%
8964º General ELO ranking 6079º
312º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
6.7%
USL Dunkerque U19
13.5%
Draw
79.8%
Caen U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
USL Dunkerque U19
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.8%
Win probability
Caen U19
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
USL Dunkerque U19
-18%
+68%
Caen U19

ELO progression

USL Dunkerque U19
Caen U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

USL Dunkerque U19
USL Dunkerque U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2018
ORL
Orléans U19
3 - 2
USL Dunkerque U19
DKQ
77%
14%
9%
16 25 9 0
09 Sep. 2018
DKQ
USL Dunkerque U19
2 - 3
Paris FC U19
PAR
15%
18%
67%
17 28 11 -1
02 Sep. 2018
SSG
Entente SSG U19
2 - 0
USL Dunkerque U19
DKQ
72%
16%
12%
17 24 7 0
26 Aug. 2018
DKQ
USL Dunkerque U19
3 - 1
Le Havre U19
HAV
8%
14%
78%
14 29 15 +3

Matches

Caen U19
Caen U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2018
CAE
Caen U19
6 - 1
Quevilly U19
QUE
89%
8%
3%
42 19 23 0
09 Sep. 2018
ORL
Orléans U19
1 - 3
Caen U19
CAE
17%
22%
61%
41 26 15 +1
02 Sep. 2018
CAE
Caen U19
3 - 2
Lille U19
LIL
52%
22%
25%
41 39 2 0
26 Aug. 2018
PAR
Paris FC U19
1 - 2
Caen U19
CAE
22%
23%
54%
40 29 11 +1
03 Jun. 2018
MON
Montpellier U19
1 - 0
Caen U19
CAE
41%
25%
34%
41 38 3 -1