Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CLI
2 - 4
DUN
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
4 - 1
LAR
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 2
CLI
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LAR
3 - 7
DUN
32%
25%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LIM
2 - 1
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
18%
20%
62%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 4
LIM
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
LOU
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 3
ARD
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |