Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 3
CLI
13%
19%
69%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 1
CLI
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
LIN
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CLI
3 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |