Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
10%
20%
70%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |