Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
72.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 3
COL
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
4 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRU
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 2
WAR
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 3
CRU
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |