Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 3
COL
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
4 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
CRU
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRU
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 2
WAR
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 3
CRU
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |