Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
LIN
6 - 0
DUN
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLE
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
WAR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
22%
25%
54%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
4 - 2
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 0
RRF
94%
5%
1%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |