Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 3
DUN
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARD
2 - 3
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIN
15%
22%
64%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CLI
2 - 2
DUN
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 4
CRU
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |