Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 2
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 3
CLI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 1
DUN
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIS
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
COL
2 - 5
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |