Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 2
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 2
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CLI
2 - 0
COL
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CLI
0 - 0
LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
CLI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 4
LIN
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |