Premier League U20 round 3

Dunfermline U20 vs Hearts U20 analysis

Dunfermline U20 Hearts U20
22 ELO 19
-4.3% Tilt 4.7%
26874º General ELO ranking 26880º
122º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Dunfermline U20
21.3%
Draw
24.9%
Hearts U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Dunfermline U20
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.9%
Win probability
Hearts U20
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Dunfermline U20
Hearts U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunfermline U20
Dunfermline U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2015
KIL
Kilmarnock U20
3 - 1
Dunfermline U20
DUN
55%
21%
24%
22 24 2 0
05 May. 2015
ABE
Aberdeen U20
3 - 1
Dunfermline U20
DUN
86%
9%
4%
22 47 25 0
30 Apr. 2015
INV
Inverness CT U20
3 - 2
Dunfermline U20
DUN
28%
22%
50%
23 18 5 -1
27 Apr. 2015
DUN
Dunfermline U20
1 - 3
Hamilton Academical U20
HAC
20%
21%
59%
24 37 13 -1
21 Apr. 2015
FAL
Falkirk U20
0 - 2
Dunfermline U20
DUN
71%
17%
13%
22 33 11 +2

Matches

Hearts U20
Hearts U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2015
HOM
Hearts U20
0 - 0
Kilmarnock U20
KIL
33%
22%
45%
20 25 5 0
04 Aug. 2015
RAN
Rangers FC U20
2 - 2
Hearts U20
HOM
85%
10%
5%
19 37 18 +1
28 Apr. 2015
ABE
Aberdeen U20
2 - 0
Hearts U20
HOM
88%
9%
4%
19 48 29 0
23 Apr. 2015
HOM
Hearts U20
0 - 4
Aberdeen U20
ABE
11%
16%
73%
20 48 28 -1
21 Apr. 2015
HAC
Hamilton Academical U20
1 - 2
Hearts U20
HOM
85%
10%
5%
19 38 19 +1