SPL Round 1

Dundee vs St. Mirren analysis

Dundee St. Mirren
82 ELO 76
3.3% Tilt 4.1%
669º General ELO ranking 582º
13º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
62.2%
Dundee
19.6%
Draw
18.1%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
Dundee
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.1%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
-10%
+5%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Dundee
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 1928
PAR
Partick Thistle
4 - 2
Dundee
DUN
54%
21%
25%
83 77 6 0
11 Aug. 1928
DUN
Dundee
0 - 1
Celtic
CEL
56%
22%
22%
83 81 2 0
21 Apr. 1928
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 2
Dundee
DUN
45%
23%
32%
83 71 12 0
18 Apr. 1928
DUN
Dundee
0 - 1
Rangers
GLA
55%
22%
23%
83 83 0 0
07 Apr. 1928
CLY
Clyde
0 - 0
Dundee
DUN
25%
23%
53%
83 67 16 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 1928
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 5
Rangers
GLA
48%
22%
29%
76 83 7 0
11 Aug. 1928
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
40%
24%
37%
76 68 8 0
21 Apr. 1928
BON
Bo'ness United
2 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
28%
23%
49%
77 62 15 -1
14 Apr. 1928
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
51%
22%
27%
77 83 6 0
07 Apr. 1928
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
57%
20%
23%
77 77 0 0