SPL Round 6

Dundee vs St. Johnstone analysis

Dundee St. Johnstone
82 ELO 73
2.5% Tilt 6.3%
672º General ELO ranking 1217º
13º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Dundee
17.8%
Draw
13.4%
St. Johnstone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
Dundee
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
St. Johnstone
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
-10%
+9%
St. Johnstone

ELO progression

Dundee
St. Johnstone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 1928
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Dundee
DUN
56%
22%
22%
83 83 0 0
25 Dec. 1928
TLA
Third Lanark
1 - 2
Dundee
DUN
32%
23%
46%
83 67 16 0
22 Dec. 1928
DUN
Dundee
0 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
64%
19%
17%
83 76 7 0
15 Dec. 1928
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Dundee
DUN
45%
23%
33%
83 74 9 0
08 Dec. 1928
DUN
Dundee
3 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
58%
22%
21%
83 83 0 0

Matches

St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 1928
STJ
St. Johnstone
4 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
46%
24%
29%
70 74 4 0
22 Dec. 1928
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
66%
18%
16%
71 73 2 -1
15 Dec. 1928
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
39%
24%
37%
70 78 8 +1
08 Dec. 1928
STJ
St. Johnstone
0 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
54%
23%
24%
71 69 2 -1
01 Dec. 1928
CEL
Celtic
0 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
72%
17%
12%
70 83 13 +1