Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
DUM
2 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
DUN
3 - 0
HAM
81%
12%
6%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
DUN
0 - 1
HIB
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUM
61%
25%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
HOM
1 - 0
AYR
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
HOM
4 - 0
THE
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
HOM
1 - 2
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |