SPL Round 7

Dundee vs Falkirk analysis

Dundee Falkirk
81 ELO 68
-6.7% Tilt -8.5%
672º General ELO ranking 436º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.8%
Dundee
16.1%
Draw
11.1%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
Dundee
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.1%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
-8%
-1%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Dundee
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 1957
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 2
Dundee
DUN
47%
22%
31%
83 68 15 0
20 Mar. 1957
GLA
Rangers
4 - 0
Dundee
DUN
59%
20%
21%
83 83 0 0
16 Mar. 1957
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
72%
17%
12%
83 68 15 0
09 Mar. 1957
DUN
Dundee
0 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
57%
20%
24%
83 77 6 0
06 Mar. 1957
CEL
Celtic
1 - 1
Dundee
DUN
55%
22%
23%
83 83 0 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1957
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
77%
14%
9%
67 83 16 0
09 Mar. 1957
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
61%
20%
19%
67 67 0 0
06 Mar. 1957
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
47%
23%
30%
66 77 11 +1
23 Feb. 1957
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
83%
11%
6%
65 83 18 +1
09 Feb. 1957
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 3
East Fife
EAS
50%
22%
28%
65 70 5 0