Dundee vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
GLA
2 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
4 - 3
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
2 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
3 - 1
CWB
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
CWB
1 - 4
DUN
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
0 - 1
AYR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
AYR
2 - 2
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ABE
3 - 1
AYR
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
AYR
3 - 3
ABE
27%
22%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |