Dunbar United vs Whitehill Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
SJU
36%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
DUN
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
PEN
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
IHS
4 - 1
DUN
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 4
DUN
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Whitehill Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
WHI
4 - 1
BLU
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LOT
4 - 1
WHI
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CRO
4 - 3
WHI
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 3
MUS
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 7
TRA
6%
14%
81%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |