Liga III Round 13

Dunărea Călăraşi vs Farul Constanţa II analysis

Dunărea Călăraşi Farul Constanţa II
34 ELO 35
11.6% Tilt -6.4%
6888º General ELO ranking 32940º
77º Country ELO ranking 438º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Dunărea Călăraşi
20.2%
Draw
25.9%
Farul Constanţa II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
Dunărea Călăraşi
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.9%
Win probability
Farul Constanţa II
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Dunărea Călăraşi
Their league position
Farul Constanţa II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Afumati
45
45
100%
Farul Constanţa II
31
31
100%
Înainte Modelu
30
30
100%
Gloria Albeşti
29
29
100%
Gloria Băneasa
28
28
100%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
25
25
100%
Dunărea Călăraşi
24
24
100%
Voluntari II
18
18
100%
Agricola Borcea
15
15
100%
Amara
10º
7
7
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dunărea Călăraşi
Farul Constanţa II
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dunărea Călăraşi
Farul Constanţa II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunărea Călăraşi
Dunărea Călăraşi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
AMA
Amara
0 - 4
Dunărea Călăraşi
DUN
16%
19%
66%
34 20 14 0
05 Nov. 2022
DUN
Dunărea Călăraşi
0 - 2
Voluntari II
VOL
74%
15%
11%
35 26 9 -1
29 Oct. 2022
DUN
Dunărea Călăraşi
3 - 0
Gloria Albeşti
CSG
72%
15%
13%
35 28 7 0
22 Oct. 2022
DUN
Dunărea Călăraşi
2 - 4
Afumati
AFU
14%
19%
67%
36 51 15 -1
15 Oct. 2022
GLO
Gloria Băneasa
1 - 1
Dunărea Călăraşi
DUN
27%
22%
52%
36 26 10 0

Matches

Farul Constanţa II
Farul Constanţa II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
FAC
Farul Constanţa II
1 - 5
Gloria Albeşti
CSG
68%
17%
14%
36 27 9 0
05 Nov. 2022
AFU
Afumati
1 - 2
Farul Constanţa II
FAC
86%
10%
4%
35 51 16 +1
29 Oct. 2022
FAC
Farul Constanţa II
1 - 1
Gloria Băneasa
GLO
69%
17%
14%
36 26 10 -1
22 Oct. 2022
FAC
Farul Constanţa II
3 - 0
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
RGD
61%
19%
20%
35 28 7 +1
15 Oct. 2022
BOR
Agricola Borcea
0 - 1
Farul Constanţa II
FAC
26%
21%
53%
34 24 10 +1