Dunărea Călăraşi vs Axiopolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
19
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RGD
4 - 1
DUN
22%
21%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
DUN
41%
24%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 2
DUN
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CSD
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Axiopolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AXI
3 - 1
FET
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AXI
0 - 1
GLO
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 3
AXI
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AXI
1 - 1
GLO
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RGD
2 - 0
AXI
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |