Dunărea Călăraşi vs Amara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
7º
7
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 2
DUN
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CSG
1 - 2
DUN
15%
18%
66%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 6
CSI
17%
24%
60%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
CSM
2 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Amara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 5
CSG
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AFU
4 - 1
AMA
93%
6%
2%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |