Dunărea Călăraşi vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
2º
2º
35
3º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
GLO
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ACP
0 - 1
DUN
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 2
DUN
49%
23%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BOR
0 - 1
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 1
ACP
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 3
ACP
66%
18%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
GLO
1 - 0
RGD
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 2
DUN
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 2
FET
86%
10%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GLO
1 - 3
RGD
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |