Dunărea Călăraşi vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
5º
2º
37
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
42 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 5
DUN
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
BOR
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 2
DUN
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
AMA
89%
8%
3%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RGD
1 - 2
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 5
RGD
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RGD
3 - 3
GLO
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BOR
5 - 1
RGD
64%
18%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
5 - 1
RGD
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RGD
1 - 2
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |