Dunărea Călăraşi vs Progresul Fundulea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
2º
2º
38
3º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 0
RGD
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
GLO
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ACP
0 - 1
DUN
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 2
DUN
49%
23%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BOR
0 - 1
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Progresul Fundulea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ACP
0 - 0
GLO
24%
26%
51%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 3
ACP
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ACP
0 - 1
DUN
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GLO
2 - 0
ACP
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ACP
1 - 2
GLO
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |