Scottish Championship Round 33

Dumbarton vs St. Mirren analysis

Dumbarton St. Mirren
41 ELO 56
14.9% Tilt 5.9%
4021º General ELO ranking 585º
46º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
34.3%
Dumbarton
27.9%
Draw
37.8%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.8%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+27%
+2%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Dumbarton
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 1996
DUN
Dundee United
6 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
83%
13%
5%
42 71 29 0
30 Mar. 1996
AIR
Airdrieonians
5 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
70%
19%
11%
43 57 14 -1
23 Mar. 1996
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 3
St. Johnstone
STJ
29%
27%
44%
43 65 22 0
16 Mar. 1996
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Clydebank
CLY
45%
27%
29%
44 52 8 -1
09 Mar. 1996
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 3
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
24%
26%
50%
44 66 22 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 1996
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Dundee
DUN
34%
27%
39%
55 64 9 0
30 Mar. 1996
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 3
Dundee United
DUN
28%
28%
44%
55 71 16 0
23 Mar. 1996
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
74%
17%
9%
55 66 11 0
16 Mar. 1996
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
74%
17%
10%
54 63 9 +1
02 Mar. 1996
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
54%
25%
21%
55 53 2 -1