Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
DUN
3 - 1
DUM
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
STM
3 - 2
DUM
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
DUM
1 - 0
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CLY
2 - 1
DUM
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
DUM
1 - 5
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
GRE
4 - 0
STJ
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
HAM
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
CLY
1 - 0
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
STM
1 - 4
GRE
37%
28%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |