Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 1
ARB
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUM
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
DUM
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FOR
0 - 2
THE
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUM
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 1
STR
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 1
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |