Third Division Round 17

Dumbarton vs Clyde analysis

Dumbarton Clyde
52 ELO 38
-7.9% Tilt 9.2%
4041º General ELO ranking 4626º
46º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
73.4%
Dumbarton
17.6%
Draw
9%
Clyde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
Dumbarton
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
Clyde
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+40%
+6%
Clyde

Points and table prediction

Dumbarton
Their league position
Clyde
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
38
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stenhousemuir
68
68
100%
Peterhead
60
60
100%
Spartans
58
58
100%
Dumbarton
57
57
100%
East Fife
44
44
100%
Forfar Athletic
42
42
100%
Elgin City
40
40
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
39
100%
Clyde
38
38
100%
Stranraer
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dumbarton
Clyde
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Clyde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 4
Dumbarton
DUM
34%
24%
42%
51 48 3 0
09 Dec. 2023
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
41%
27%
33%
52 53 1 -1
25 Nov. 2023
BLA
Annan Athletic
4 - 5
Dumbarton
DUM
37%
23%
40%
51 48 3 +1
18 Nov. 2023
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
64%
20%
15%
51 41 10 0
11 Nov. 2023
EAS
East Fife
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
31%
24%
45%
50 46 4 +1

Matches

Clyde
Clyde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
PET
Peterhead
2 - 1
Clyde
CLY
65%
21%
15%
38 47 9 0
09 Dec. 2023
CLY
Clyde
2 - 2
Stranraer
STR
40%
24%
37%
38 41 3 0
24 Nov. 2023
CLY
Clyde
2 - 0
Jeanfield Swifts
JSW
30%
20%
50%
36 42 6 +2
18 Nov. 2023
CLY
Clyde
0 - 4
East Fife
EAS
33%
25%
42%
38 45 7 -2
11 Nov. 2023
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
72%
18%
11%
37 47 10 +1