Dumbarton vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
DUM
2 - 0
CLY
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
DUM
3 - 3
TLA
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1921 |
CEL
4 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
PAR
4 - 2
DUM
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 2
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1921 |
HIB
2 - 1
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
36%
29%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1921 |
CEL
4 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
RAI
1 - 1
CEL
30%
25%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1921 |
AIR
0 - 2
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |