Third Division Round 15

Dumbarton vs Brechin City analysis

Dumbarton Brechin City
52 ELO 45
8.5% Tilt 4.6%
4036º General ELO ranking 2594º
46º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
69.1%
Dumbarton
18.9%
Draw
12%
Brechin City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12%
Win probability
Brechin City
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+28%
-6%
Brechin City

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Brechin City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 1999
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
52%
24%
24%
52 52 0 0
06 Nov. 1999
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
64%
21%
15%
52 46 6 0
30 Oct. 1999
QUE
Queen's Park
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
52%
24%
24%
52 53 1 0
23 Oct. 1999
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
72%
17%
11%
52 39 13 0
16 Oct. 1999
MON
Montrose
1 - 4
Dumbarton
DUM
38%
26%
36%
52 43 9 0

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 1999
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
43%
27%
30%
41 46 5 0
06 Nov. 1999
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Montrose
MON
44%
25%
31%
40 41 1 +1
30 Oct. 1999
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
62%
22%
16%
40 47 7 0
23 Oct. 1999
BRE
Brechin City
0 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
33%
27%
40%
41 51 10 -1
16 Oct. 1999
QUE
Queen's Park
5 - 3
Brechin City
BRE
67%
20%
13%
42 53 11 -1