Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
FAL
2 - 3
DUM
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
DUM
1 - 0
AYR
57%
20%
22%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
DUM
4 - 1
HIB
25%
21%
55%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUM
77%
14%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
AYR
2 - 1
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
GLA
0 - 0
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
DUM
1 - 0
AYR
57%
20%
22%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
AYR
2 - 1
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
AYR
0 - 2
HIB
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |