Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 0
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DUM
2 - 5
FAL
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 1
ICT
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ICT
5 - 1
DUM
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
AIR
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 5
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
RAI
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |