Dumbarton vs St. Mirren II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 2
DUM
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
DUM
2 - 1
CLY
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 1
DUM
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUM
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DUM
0 - 4
DUN
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BER
2 - 3
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 2
ALB
9%
13%
79%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +4 |