Dukla vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 1
DUK
92%
6%
2%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
MON
4 - 1
DUK
84%
10%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
DUK
2 - 3
MON
2%
18%
80%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 1
DUK
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 2
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |